FOREX-Yen crumbles under towering dollar and US Treasury yields

By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE, April 12 (Reuters) - The yen struggled to break away from a 34-year low on Friday and was headed for a weekly decline, while the dollar hovered near a five-month high alongside U.S. Treasury yields as traders heavily scaled back bets for a slew of U.S. rate cuts this year.

The euro was eyeing its sharpest weekly fall in about four months, pressured in part by a resurgent greenback and expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) could begin easing rates in June, likely ahead of the Federal Reserve.

The yen was last marginally higher at 153.17 per dollar , languishing near a 34-year trough of 153.32 per dollar hit in the previous session on the back of a surge in U.S. Treasury yields, which the dollar/yen pair tends to closely track.

While the 152 yen level initially proved a strong resistance for the dollar due to fear of an intervention from Japanese authorities, a hot inflation reading out of the United States on Wednesday spurred a broad rally in the greenback, which eventually broke past the key threshold.

"The break of 152 wasn't really a break, it was more like a blast," Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG. "It's been pretty impressive."

"They have to support the yen, it's in freefall. So there has to be some measures soon. The question is at what level and at what time do they decide to put some money down," he said, referring to an intervention from Tokyo to shore up the currency.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Friday authorities were analysing not just recent yen levels but factors that are driving the currency's moves, adding to the slew of verbal intervention from authorities in recent weeks in a bid to stem the yen's decline.

Elsewhere, sterling dipped 0.01% to $1.2553 while the euro last bought $1.0726, pushing some distance away from a two-month low hit in the previous session.

The single currency was on track for a weekly loss of more than 1%, after the ECB on Thursday held interest rates at a record high, as expected, but signalled it could start lowering them as soon as June.

"I think the ECB now are going to be the front runners in terms of rate cuts," said IG's Sycamore.

A June cut from the ECB would likely come ahead of the Fed, which is now only widely expected to begin easing rates by September, after a stronger-than-expected reading on U.S. consumer prices sent prospects for a first Fed cut before the end of summer down the drain.

Futures now point to just about 40 basis points worth of easing from the Fed this year, down from roughly 60 bps at the start of the week.