FOREX-Dollar gains before manufacturing data, euro crumbles on German inflation

In This Article:

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Dollar gains against major currencies

* Weak German data hits euro

* RBA big event risk in Asian trading

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Oct 1 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar traded near its highest in almost two weeks versus the yen before the release of data that is forecast to show the U.S. manufacturing sector returned to growth, which would ease concern about the impact of the ongoing Sino-U.S. trade war.

The euro teetered near its lowest in more than two years versus the greenback as weak economic data from Germany reinforced expectations that monetary policy in the euro zone will remain accommodative for an extended period.

The Australian dollar edged lower before an expected interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) later on Tuesday.

A host of economic data and comments from central bankers this week will set the tone for major currencies as traders try to determine how far policymakers go to bolster growth.

"Economic data can be supportive of the dollar, and the Federal Reserve's comments are not as dovish as some people think," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.

"An RBA rate cut and the risk of a stagnant European economy both should be positive for the greenback."

The dollar traded at 107.85 yen early in Asia, close to its strongest level in almost two weeks.

The yen remained weak after the Bank of Japan's tankan showed business confidence in the third quarter slid to its lowest in six years.

Trading could be subdued in Asian time because China's financial markets are closed until Monday for public holidays.

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies rose 0.03% to 99.402, approaching the highest in more than two years.

The Institute for Supply Management's measure of U.S. manufacturing activity due later on Tuesday is forecast to show a return to expansion in September, but just barely.

In August U.S. manufacturing activity contracted for the first time in three years due to the U.S.-China trade war.

Several Fed policymakers are scheduled to speak this week, but traders said they will focus most on comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday for hints about the direction of U.S. monetary policy.

The Fed has cut interest rates twice this year, but there are signs that the Fed is reluctant to ease policy further because the jobs market remains strong.

The euro stood at $1.0900 in Asia, nursing a 0.4% decline in the previous session when it slid to $1.0885, which is the lowest since May 12, 2017.