Following a 69% decline over last year, recent gains may please Naked Wines plc (LON:WINE) institutional owners

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Naked Wines' stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions

  • The top 8 shareholders own 52% of the company

  • Recent purchases by insiders

Every investor in Naked Wines plc (LON:WINE) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 65% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Institutional investors would appreciate the 14% increase in share prices last week, given their one-year returns have been disappointing at 69%.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Naked Wines.

Check out our latest analysis for Naked Wines

ownership-breakdown
AIM:WINE Ownership Breakdown April 27th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Naked Wines?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Naked Wines already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Naked Wines, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:WINE Earnings and Revenue Growth April 27th 2023

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Our data indicates that hedge funds own 19% of Naked Wines. That's interesting, because hedge funds can be quite active and activist. Many look for medium term catalysts that will drive the share price higher. The company's largest shareholder is Punch Card Management LP, with ownership of 10.0%. Baillie Gifford & Co. is the second largest shareholder owning 9.6% of common stock, and Conifer Management, LLC holds about 9.4% of the company stock.

On further inspection, we found that more than half the company's shares are owned by the top 8 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are balanced out to an extent by the smaller ones.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.