Flowers Foods Q1 Earnings & Revenues Miss Estimates, FY25 View Lowered

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Flowers Foods, Inc. FLO reported first-quarter fiscal 2025 results, wherein both top and bottom lines missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Both net sales and earnings experienced year-over-year declines. Management revised its full-year 2025 outlook, citing first-quarter performance, a challenging consumer environment and the anticipated impact of higher tariff costs.

Flowers Foods’ Quarterly Performance: Key Insights

Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 35 cents missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 38 cents. The bottom line also decreased from 38 cents reported in the year-ago quarter. (Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.)

Flowers Foods, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Flowers Foods, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Flowers Foods, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Flowers Foods, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Flowers Foods, Inc. Quote

Sales declined 1.4% year over year to $1,554 million. The top line missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,603 million. Price/mix declined 0.3%, impacted by increased promotional activity in branded retail. Volumes dropped 2.7%, mainly due to decreases in traditional loaf bread and cake. The Simple Mills acquisition added 1.6%. We estimated the price/mix to be up 1.4% and volumes to decline 1.1% in the first quarter.

Branded retail sales inched down 0.4% to $1,011 million, due to lower volumes and an unfavorable price/mix due to heightened promotional activity. These headwinds were partially offset by contributions from the Simple Mills acquisition. The pricing/mix inched down 0.9%, sales volume decreased 1.9% and the Simple Mills acquisition contributed 2.4%. We anticipated the price/mix and volumes to be down 1.1% each in the fiscal first quarter.

Other sales decrease 3.3% to $543 million, impacted by inflationary pressure on consumer spending and the execution of non-retail margin optimization strategies. While pricing/mix improved 0.4% and volume declined 3.7%. We estimated the price/mix to be up 6% and volumes to decline 1% in the fiscal first quarter.

Decoding FLO’s Costs & Margins Performance

Materials, supplies, labor and other production costs (exclusive of depreciation and amortization) contracted 50 basis points (bps) to 50.1% of sales on moderating ingredient expenses. This improvement was partially offset by lower production volumes, higher workforce-related expenses and increased outside product purchases.

Selling, distribution and administrative (SD&A) expenses were 40.8% of sales, up 110 bps. The increase in SD&A costs as a percentage of net sales was driven by higher workforce-related expenses, acquisition-related costs and vehicle rental fees. These were partially offset by lower distributor distribution fees, savings from cost-reduction initiatives implemented after the fiscal first quarter of the prior year and reduced incentive compensation. Adjusted SD&A expenses were 39.5% of sales, up 20 bps from the year-ago quarter. 

Adjusted EBITDA increased 1.6% to $162 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin was 10.4%, expanding 30 bps. We anticipated an adjusted EBITDA margin increase of 50 bps to 10.6% for the quarter under review.