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FedEx, Oracle and Adobe Systems are part of Zacks Earnings Preview:

For Immediate Release
 
Chicago, IL – September 11, 2015 – Zacks.com releases the list of companies likely to issue earnings surprises. This week’s list includes FedEx (FDX), Oracle (ORCL) and Adobe Systems (ADBE).   
 
To see more earnings analysis, visit https://at.zacks.com/?id=3207.
 
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What to Expect from Q3 Earnings Season
 
Earnings aren’t in the spotlight at present; the market’s focus is justifiably on the Fed which starts its two-day meeting on Wednesday (September 16th). The big question is whether they will announce the first rate increase in a long time on Thursday afternoon or delay that decision to a later date in response to recent China-centric uncertainty.

Regular readers know that we have strong views on the subject. But instead of speculating about what they will or will not do on Thursday, we will rather discuss the Q3 earnings season whose early reports will start arriving next week. The FedEx (FDX) report Wednesday morning will be the first Q3 earnings report from amongst S&P 500 members, followed by Oracle (ORCL) that same evening and Adobe Systems (ADBE) the following day. All of these early reporters have fiscal quarters ending in August, which we count as part of our 2015 Q3 tally.

In total, we will get results from more than two dozen companies this week, including 4 S&P 500 members. But we will have to wait another 4 weeks for the Q3 reporting cycle to really ramp up.

Will the Earnings Growth Picture Improve?

We know that the growth picture was quite bad in Q2, with total earnings for the S&P 500 index down -2.1% from the same period last year on -3.4% lower revenues. The Energy sector was the primary reason for the aggregate decline – the growth picture improves once the Energy sector is excluded from the aggregate numbers. Excluding Energy, total earnings for the S&P 500 index would have been up +5.2% in Q2 on +1.3% higher revenues.  

The growth picture isn’t expected to improve in the current period either, with total earnings for the S&P 500 index expected to be down -5.5% from the same period last year on -4.4% lower revenues. The headwinds from Q2 are at play in Q3 as well, with a combination of Energy sector weakness, dollar weakness and global growth uncertainties weighing on the outlook. Excluding the drag from the Energy sector (Energy sector earnings expected to be down -63.9% year over year), total earnings for the index would be up +1.7% on +0.7% higher revenues.

Estimates for the quarter came down over the last couple of months, following a trend that has now been well entrenched for quite some time.

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FEDEX CORP (FDX): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
ORACLE CORP (ORCL): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
ADOBE SYSTEMS (ADBE): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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