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Investors in Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (NYSE:EXPD) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.0% to close at US$117 following the release of its full-year results. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$11b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Expeditors International of Washington surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$5.72 per share, modestly greater than expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
View our latest analysis for Expeditors International of Washington
Taking into account the latest results, Expeditors International of Washington's twelve analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$10.7b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to decrease 5.1% to US$5.57 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$10.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.41 in 2025. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.
Despite these upgrades,the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of US$115, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Expeditors International of Washington at US$129 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$86.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Expeditors International of Washington's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 0.9% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 2.3% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 3.3% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Expeditors International of Washington is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.