Should You Expect Tomson Group Limited (HKG:258) To Continue Delivering An ROE Of 9.95%?

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With an ROE of 9.95%, Tomson Group Limited (SEHK:258) outpaced its own industry which delivered a less exciting 9.49% over the past year. Superficially, this looks great since we know that 258 has generated big profits with little equity capital; however, ROE doesn’t tell us how much 258 has borrowed in debt. Today, we’ll take a closer look at some factors like financial leverage to see how sustainable 258’s ROE is. View our latest analysis for Tomson Group

Breaking down ROE — the mother of all ratios

Firstly, Return on Equity, or ROE, is simply the percentage of last years’ earning against the book value of shareholders’ equity. It essentially shows how much the company can generate in earnings given the amount of equity it has raised. While a higher ROE is preferred in most cases, there are several other factors we should consider before drawing any conclusions.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

ROE is assessed against cost of equity, which is measured using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) – but let’s not dive into the details of that today. For now, let’s just look at the cost of equity number for Tomson Group, which is 8.38%. Given a positive discrepancy of 1.57% between return and cost, this indicates that Tomson Group pays less for its capital than what it generates in return, which is a sign of capital efficiency. ROE can be broken down into three different ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

SEHK:258 Last Perf May 19th 18
SEHK:258 Last Perf May 19th 18

The first component is profit margin, which measures how much of sales is retained after the company pays for all its expenses. Asset turnover reveals how much revenue can be generated from Tomson Group’s asset base. And finally, financial leverage is simply how much of assets are funded by equity, which exhibits how sustainable the company’s capital structure is. Since ROE can be artificially increased through excessive borrowing, we should check Tomson Group’s historic debt-to-equity ratio. At 5.90%, Tomson Group’s debt-to-equity ratio appears low and indicates the above-average ROE is generated from its capacity to increase profit without a large debt burden.

SEHK:258 Historical Debt May 19th 18
SEHK:258 Historical Debt May 19th 18

Next Steps:

While ROE is a relatively simple calculation, it can be broken down into different ratios, each telling a different story about the strengths and weaknesses of a company. Tomson Group’s ROE is impressive relative to the industry average and also covers its cost of equity. ROE is not likely to be inflated by excessive debt funding, giving shareholders more conviction in the sustainability of high returns. ROE is a helpful signal, but it is definitely not sufficient on its own to make an investment decision.