European Equities: Trade in Focus, as the Markets Look for a Conclusion

In This Article:

Economic Calendar:

Wednesday, 27th November 2019

  • France Jobseekers Total

Thursday, 28th November 2019

  • Spanish CPI (YoY) (Nov) Prelim

  • Spanish HICP (YoY) (Nov) Prelim

  • German CPI (MoM) (Nov) Prelim

Friday, 29th November 2019

  • German Retail Sales m/m (Oct)

  • French Consumer Spending (MoM) (Oct)

  • French CPI m/m (Oct) Prelim

  • French HICP m/m (Oct) Prelim

  • French GDP (QoQ) (Q3)

  • German Unemployment Change (Nov)

  • German Unemployment Rate (Nov)

  • Italian CPI (MoM) (Nov) Prelim

  • Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Nov) Prelim

  • Eurozone Unemployment Rate (Oct)

The Majors

It was a mixed day for the European majors on Tuesday, with the EuroStoxx600 rising by 0.10%, while the DAX30 fell by 0.08%. The CAC40 rose by just 0.08% on the day.

The mixed bag and lack of any major moves came as the markets looked for further progress on trade talks between the U.S and China.

While news from Friday and the weekend had been positive, an actual conclusion had yet to be reached, which pinned back the majors.

The Stats

It was a relatively quiet day on the Eurozone economic calendar on Tuesday. Key stats included November’s GfK Consumer Climate figures out of Germany.

The GfK Consumer Climate Index rose from 9.6 to 9.7 in November, which was in line with forecasts.

According to the November report,

  • Consumer expectations improved in November, with the indicator rising by 15.5 points to 1.7. The upside came off the back of positive progress being made in trade talks between the U.S and China.

  • Income expectations also picked up, with the indicator increasing from 6.5 points to 45.5. In spite of reports of rising unemployment, consumers were reportedly highly optimistic.

  • Bucking the trend in the month was the propensity to buy sub-index, which fell by 1.7 points to 50.0. In spite of the decline, the indicator continues to sit at high levels, despite the economic woes in Germany.

From the U.S, consumer confidence eased slightly, with the CB Consumer Confidence Index falling from 126.1 to 125.5.

While falling short of forecasts, the decline was not enough to cause alarm, providing further support to the majors on the day.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a bearish day for the auto sector. Volkswagen and Continental led the way, with both falling by 0.81%. Daimler wasn’t far behind, declining by 0.76%, while BMW saw a more modest loss of 0.66% on the day.

It was a mixed day for the banks, however. While Deutsche Bank slid 1.24%, Commerzbank rose by 0.25%.

From the CAC, it was another bearish day for the banks. BNP Paribas fell by 0.85% to lead the day down. Credit Agricole and Soc Gen saw more modest losses of 0.36% and 0.44% respectively.