In This Article:
Economic Calendar:
Monday, 12th October
ECB President Lagarde Speaks
Tuesday, 13th October
German CPI (MoM) (Sep) Final
German ZEW Current Conditions (Oct)
German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct)
Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct)
Wednesday, 14th October
Spanish CPI (YoY) (Sep) Final
Spanish HICP (YoY) (Sep) Final
ECB President Lagarde Speaks
Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug)
Thursday, 15th October
French CPI (MoM) (Sep) Final
French HICP (MoM) (Sep) Final
ECB President Lagarde Speaks
Friday, 16th October
Italian CPI (MoM) (Sep) Final
Eurozone Inflation (Sep) Final
Eurozone Trade Balance (Aug)
The Majors
It was a bullish end to the week for the European majors on Friday. The CAC40 rose by 0.71% to lead the way, with the DAX300 and EuroStoxx600 gaining 0.07% and 0.55% respectively.
There were no major stats to provide the majors with direction on the day, leaving U.S politics and Brexit to provide direction.
Positive updates from U.S President Trump and Speaker of the House Pelosi on progress towards a U.S stimulus package provided support.
For the broader market, Biden’s widening lead in the polls also eased concerns over political uncertainty next month. The markets are beginning to price in a blue wave and a clean sweep that would eliminate any Trump contention over the outcome. A clean sweep would also deliver more stimulus to support the economic recovery.
The Stats
It was a particularly quiet day on the Eurozone economic calendar. There were no material stats from the Eurozone or the U.S to provide direction.
While updates from Capitol Hill were market positive, a fresh pike in new COVID-19 cases pinned back the majors.
A reintroduction of containment measures in France and other member states could undo the economic recovery…
The Market Movers
For the DAX: It was a bearish day for the auto sector on Friday. Continental slid by 1.72% to lead the way down, with, BMW and Daimler seeing losses of 1.63% and 1.56% respectively. Volkswagen ended the day down by a more modest 0.12%.
It was also a bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank fell by 1.22% and by 0.80% respectively.
From the CAC, it was a bearish day for bank stocks. Credit Agricole and Soc Gen slid by 1.39% and by 1.41% respectively, while BNP Paribas fell by a more modest 0.89%.
It was also a bearish day for the French auto sector. Peugeot and Renault ended the day with losses of 1.83% and 3.35% respectively.
Air France-KLM reversed Thursday’s 1.76% gain with a 2.8% slide, with Airbus SE falling by 0.21%.
On the VIX Index
It was a 3rd consecutive day in the red for the VIX on Friday. Following a 6.06% slide from Thursday, the VIX fell by 5.16% to end the day at 25.00.