In This Article:
Economic Calendar:
Tuesday, 15th October
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French CPI (MoM) (Sep) Final
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French HICP (MoM) (Sep) Final
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German ZEW Current Conditions (Oct)
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German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct)
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Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct)
Wednesday, 16th October
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Italian CPI (MoM) (Sep) Final
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Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Sep) Final
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Eurozone CPI (MoM) (Sep)
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Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Sep) Final
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Eurozone Trade Balance (Aug)
The Majors
It was a bearish start to the week for the European majors. The CAC40 led the way down, falling by 0.4% on Monday. The DAX30 and EuroStoxx600 weren’t far behind with losses of 0.20% and 0.49% respectively.
Uncertainty over the U.S – China trade war and Brexit weighed on the broader markets on the day.
While the U.S agreed to defer the rollout of further tariffs on Chinese goods tomorrow, a lack of commitment to removal existing tariffs weighed on risk sentiment.
On the Brexit front, a lack of progress from last week’s hopes of a deal added to the downside on the day.
The Stats
It was a relatively quiet day on the Eurozone economic calendar on Monday. Economic data was limited to the Eurozone’s industrial production figures for September.
According to Eurostat, industrial production rose by 0.4%, month-on-month in August, reversing a 0.4% decline in July. Economists had forecast a 0.3% rise.
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The production of capital goods rose by 1.2% and intermediate goods by 0.3%.
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Weighing in August, however, was a 0.3% fall in the production of consumer goods and a 0.6% fall in energy and non-durable consumer goods production.
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Malta (+5.6%), Estonia (+3.9%) and Latvia (+3.0%) reported the highest increases in production.
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Slovakia (-2.6%) and Lithuania (-2.4%) reported the largest declines in August.
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Year-on-year, production fell by 2.8%.
With a lack of U.S stats on the day, geopolitical risk offset upbeat industrial production figures on the day.
The Market Movers
For the DAX: Autos found more upside on Monday, supported by the delay of additional tariffs on Chinese goods. Continental led the way, rising by 0.52%. BMW (+0.50%) and Daimler (+0.40%) saw more modest gains, whilst Volkswagen bucked the trend on the day, however, falling by 0.12%.
Bank stocks found further support, with Deutsche Bank rising by 0.75% and Commerzbank by 0.69%
From the CAC, it was a mixed day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Soc Gen fell by 0.79% and by 0.16% respectively. Credit Agricole managed to buck the trend with a 0.22% gain. For the autos, it was also mixed with Renault rising by 0.69%, while Peugeot slipped by 0.87%.
On the VIX Index
The VIX Index saw red for a 4th consecutive day on Monday, falling by 6.48%. Following on from an 11.33% slide on Friday, the VIX ended the day at 14.6.