EURUSD – Retail FX trading crowds have aggressively sold the Euro against the suddenly-downtrodden US Dollar, and our contrarian view of crowd sentiment leaves us plainly in favor of further declines.
Trade Implications – EURUSD: Our sentiment-based trading strategies recently bought the EURUSD from $1.3039 and $1.3085 as crowds do the opposite—I think the trades stand to do well as the Dollar weakens more broadly.
I wrote (and spoke) yesterday in favor of a US Dollar short position versus the Yen and other major counterparts—so far so good. It will be important to watch how the Euro reacts when/if it hits critical congestion resistance and a key 50% Fibonacci retracement mark at $1.3250.
--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com
Download all of our Sentiment-based trading strategies free via an ongoing promo on FXCMApps.com
To receive the Speculative Sentiment Index and other reports from this author via e-mail, sign up for his distribution list via this link.
Contact David via
Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFX
Facebook at http://www.Facebook.com/DRodriguezFX
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.