EU-China relations: spectre of Trump hangs over Munich conference as Beijing looks for openings in Europe

Opened in 1841 and almost completely destroyed by British bombs in 1944, the old Hotel Bayerischer Hof in Munich has seen its fair share of ghosts.

Over the last weekend, however, it was haunted by the possibility of a different sort of spectre.

Donald Trump, the former US president and presumptive Republican nominee for November's US election was not at the 60th Munich Security Conference but his absence loomed over it, percolating through tense conversations about Ukraine, Gaza and Europe's ability to provide for its own security.

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On Friday, United States Vice-President Kamala Harris tried to reassure Europeans rattled by Trump's potential comeback and following his vow on February 10 that he would "encourage" Russia to attack members of Nato who had not met their financial obligations.

"In these unsettled times, it is clear: America cannot retreat. America must stand strong for democracy. We must stand in defence of international rules and norms, and we must stand with our allies," Harris said.

On Sunday, however, an alternative picture of the future was painted by J.D. Vance, a Republican Senator for Ohio, who said he "can't speak for Donald Trump ... but I think that [Trump] agrees with what I'm going to say".

"I don't think we should pull out of Nato and no, I don't think we should abandon Europe. But yes, I think that we should pivot, the United States has to focus more on East Asia. That is going to be the future of American foreign policy for the next 40 years, and Europe has to wake up to that fact," Vance told the conference known as the "Davos of Defence".

Against this backdrop, China fell down the summit's agenda and its officials were less visible than in previous years. Nonetheless, a sizeable Chinese delegation worked the margins at Munich, taking part in private and public events, looking to capitalise on Europe's horror at America's potential retreat from the continental theatre.

"No matter how the world changes, China is a responsible major country [that] will keep its major principles and policies consistent and stable ... In a turbulent world China will be a force for stability," Foreign Minister Wang Yi told the audience on Saturday.

While the speech was loaded with thinly-veiled barbs directed at the US and implied threats not to cross China's red line, Taiwan, observers thought it was softer in tone than that given by Wang a year earlier, owing to a relative thaw in bilateral ties.