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Equinox Gold Corp.'s (TSE:EQX) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.
View our latest analysis for Equinox Gold
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Equinox Gold issued 41% more new shares over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Equinox Gold's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
A Look At The Impact Of Equinox Gold's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
As it happens, we don't know how much the company made or lost three years ago, because we don't have the data. The good news is that profit was up 1,075% in the last twelve months. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 818% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Equinox Gold can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Equinox Gold's Profit Performance
Equinox Gold shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. For this reason, we think that Equinox Gold's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. While conducting our analysis, we found that Equinox Gold has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.