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The recent earnings release from EQT Corporation (NYSE:EQT ) was disappointing to investors. We looked deeper and believe that there is even more to be worried about, beyond the soft profit numbers.
View our latest analysis for EQT
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. EQT expanded the number of shares on issue by 36% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out EQT's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting EQT's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
Three years ago, EQT lost money. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 87%. Like a sack of potatoes thrown from a delivery truck, EPS fell harder, down 90% in the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.
In the long term, if EQT's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted EQT's net profit by US$292m over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. EQT had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
Our Take On EQT's Profit Performance
To sum it all up, EQT got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. Considering all this we'd argue EQT's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about EQT as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that EQT is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit concerning...