Editorial: How to Navigate a Market Crash

In This Article:

Investing.com -- Investors have every reason to be losing their sleep over the recent market events. Since the S&P 500 began trading as an index of 500 companies on March 4, 1957, there have been only four other instances—besides the most recent two trading days—where it experienced a loss of 10% or more over two consecutive days. Specifically:

  • Black Monday Crash (October 16-19, 1987): -25.65%

  • Global Financial Crisis 1 (November 5-6, 2008): -10.30%

  • Global Financial Crisis 2 (November 19-20, 2008): -12.83%

  • COVID crash (March 11-12, 2020): -14.40%

  • Liberation Day (April 3-4, 2025): -10.53%

It's no coincidence that the Fear and Greed Index has plummeted to its lowest point since the COVID-19 crash of 2020, a level previously reached only during the Global Financial Crisis.

Fear and Greed Index
Fear and Greed Index

Source: CNN Fear and Greed Index

Those who have experienced such market crashes before know it: each time, it feels as if the world as we know it might be on the brink of ending.

But here’s the good news - it never does, and the US economy, along with the stock market, has always withstood these pressures in the long run.

It’s no coincidence that Warren Buffett had its largest cash pile ever prior to this crash or that Jamie Dimon sold $230 million in shares in February this year. Some might say they were waiting for a moment like this with open arms.

But why?

Using our historical data from Investing.com, we calculated the S&P 500 performance at different intervals (from the next day through one year) following the four previous instances when the index fell more than 10% over two consecutive trading days.

The results are widely positive across the board. This means that those who had the courage (and cash) to buy stocks after a dip like this had positive returns every time in history.

Check them out below:

Stocks Performance After Drop
Stocks Performance After Drop

Source: Investing.com

Could this time be different? Yes, for sure, it could. However, as seen above, the odds (particularly on the one-year time frame) are certainly tilted in favor of those willing to take advantage of the lower stock prices.

Here’s How We Can Assist You in This Moment

While historical data is clear on the advantages of buying when everyone is running for the hills (be greedy when others are fearful), it’s not like buying any stock at this point will yield you massive returns.

Savvy investors would know that market crashes oftentimes mark the end of cycles, ultimately leaving losers in the past. Such was the case for names such as Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO), which hasn’t yet recovered its market cap lost in the dot-com bubble more than 25 years ago.