Economic impact of Detroit's NFL draft likely to smash initial predictions

Those $15 Bud Light beer cans and $500-a-night hotel rooms — and that reported record attendance of more than 775,000 over three days of fanatical football frenzy — will add up to an electric economic jolt from the 2024 NFL draft in Detroit.

The 2023 NFL draft in Kansas City reportedly led to $164.3 million in overall economic impact when last year's draft figures were tallied, and Kansas City's draft had less than half the attendance of Detroit at 312,000 people.

The economic impact of the NFL draft in Nashville in 2019 — which held the previous record attendance of 600,000— was pegged at $224 million. Five years ago in late May, the NFL and the Nashville Convention & Visitors Corp. announced that NFL draft generated a record $133 million in direct spending in the Music City — a 79% increase over the $74 million at the 2018 NFL draft in Dallas, according to a report on the Tennessee Titans website.

More: Will Detroit beat Kansas City when it comes to crowds, economic impact of NFL draft?

Detroit's economic impact numbers surely are expected to be higher and even better than earlier expectations, given the steady inflow of Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals, Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers and other NFL fans into the city on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. But we don't have a firm number yet — and likely won't get one until later in May.

Crowds begin to fill in around the main theater on Thursday, April 25, 2024 for the first day of the NFL draft in Detroit.
Crowds begin to fill in around the main theater on Thursday, April 25, 2024 for the first day of the NFL draft in Detroit.

On Wednesday, Visit Detroit CEO Claude Molinari spoke on a panel called "Motor City Momentum: Draft Day Economics" held on the rooftop of a downtown building. A day before the draft began, he projected that the NFL draft will generate between $175 million to $200 million in economic growth in Detroit.

Molinari said Monday original estimates at one point were somewhere between $150 million to $175 million. "I think we’re going to go way beyond that," he said Monday morning.

Visit Detroit is working with Patrick Rishe, a sports economist, to conduct a full, post-event economic impact analysis, which is expected in late May or later. Rishe is director of the sports and business program and a professor of practice in sports business at the Olin Business School at Washington University in St. Louis. He did not respond to requests from the Free Press for comments on his early impression of Detroit's experience.

Much of the story will depend on where people spent their money, and perhaps on where they didn't. While it was inspiring to see all that Honolulu blue sported by Detroit Lions fans who flooded the NFL draft area at key spots near Woodward Avenue and along Jefferson Avenue, you can't say that's all new money coming into town. Those locally based fans would have spent their money somewhere else, likely locally, if they didn't go to the draft. At some level, it's moving plastic — or paper cash — around a chess board.