Earnings Report: Fortis Inc. Missed Revenue Estimates By 6.4%

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As you might know, Fortis Inc. (TSE:FTS) recently reported its third-quarter numbers. Results look mixed - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CA$2.8b, statutory earnings were in line with expectations, at CA$0.85 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Fortis

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TSX:FTS Earnings and Revenue Growth November 7th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Fortis' eleven analysts is for revenues of CA$12.6b in 2025. This reflects a solid 9.8% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 5.2% to CA$3.37. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CA$12.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of CA$3.34 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CA$60.21, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Fortis analyst has a price target of CA$65.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CA$43.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Fortis shareholders.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Fortis'historical trends, as the 7.7% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 7.2% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 4.7% per year. So it's pretty clear that Fortis is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.