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Last week, you might have seen that Sprout Social, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPT) released its full-year result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.6% to US$27.35 in the past week. The results overall were pretty much dead in line with analyst forecasts; revenues were US$406m and statutory losses were US$1.09 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
Check out our latest analysis for Sprout Social
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Sprout Social's twelve analysts is for revenues of US$450.1m in 2025. This would reflect a solid 11% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Losses are expected to be contained, narrowing 19% from last year to US$0.86. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$463.5m and losses of US$0.87 per share in 2025.
The average price target fell 14% to US$32.08, with the analysts clearly concerned about the weaker revenue outlook and expectation of ongoing losses. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Sprout Social, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$42.00 and the most bearish at US$23.00 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Sprout Social's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Sprout Social's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 11% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 27% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 12% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Sprout Social is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.