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It's been a pretty great week for Repay Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:RPAY) shareholders, with its shares surging 11% to US$4.19 in the week since its latest first-quarter results. The results don't look great, especially considering that statutory losses grew 182% toUS$0.09 per share. Revenues of US$77m did beat expectations by 2.1%, but it looks like a bit of a cold comfort. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Repay Holdings after the latest results.
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Following last week's earnings report, Repay Holdings' ten analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be US$305.7m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Losses are forecast to balloon 28% to US$0.19 per share. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$306.5m and US$0.13 per share in losses. While this year's revenue estimates held steady, there was also a very substantial increase in loss per share expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view on the stock.
See our latest analysis for Repay Holdings
The consensus price target fell 16% to US$7.59per share, with the analysts clearly concerned by ballooning losses. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Repay Holdings analyst has a price target of US$12.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$4.50. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 1.7% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 17% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 5.1% per year. It's pretty clear that Repay Holdings' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.