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Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. For example, the BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:BMRN) share price is down 34% in the last year. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 26%. Even if shareholders bought some time ago, they wouldn't be particularly happy: the stock is down 27% in three years. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 12% in the last 90 days.
After losing 3.6% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
Check out our latest analysis for BioMarin Pharmaceutical
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the unfortunate twelve months during which the BioMarin Pharmaceutical share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 117%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.
It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.
BioMarin Pharmaceutical's revenue is actually up 19% over the last year. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
BioMarin Pharmaceutical is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.
A Different Perspective
Investors in BioMarin Pharmaceutical had a tough year, with a total loss of 34%, against a market gain of about 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.