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EOG Resources, Inc. (NYSE:EOG) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 4.6% to US$127 in the week after its latest yearly results. It looks like the results were a bit of a negative overall. While revenues of US$24b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings were less than expected, missing estimates by 3.4% to hit US$11.25 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
See our latest analysis for EOG Resources
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from EOG Resources' 18 analysts is for revenues of US$24.6b in 2025. This would reflect a credible 3.8% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be US$11.30, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$24.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$11.59 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a minor downgrade to their earnings per share forecasts.
It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at US$146, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values EOG Resources at US$175 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$115. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that EOG Resources' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.8% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 14% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 4.0% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while EOG Resources' revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.