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Duolingo's AI Investments Set The Stage For Long-Term Growth—Analyst Sees Stock Hitting $400

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Needham analyst Ryan MacDonald raised the price forecast on Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) from $385 to $400 while maintaining a Buy rating.

The company reported mixed fourth-quarter results on Thursday. Revenue of $209.6 million beat the consensus of $205.4 million, and EPS of $0.28 missed the consensus estimate of $0.50.

Duolingo sees revenues of $220.5 million – $223.5 million for the first quarter (vs. consensus of $221.069 million) and $962.5 million – $978.5 million for FY25 (vs. estimate of $965.882 million).

The analyst’s bullish stance reflects strong fourth-quarter results, with both revenue and earnings surpassing expectations.

Highlights include another quarter of 50%+ DAU growth and a surge in subscription bookings to 50%, fueled by early adoption of the premium Duolingo Max tier and an improved Family Plan mix, adds the analyst.

The analyst says that although shares are down due to a weaker-than-expected FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance, he notes DUOL’s increased investments in enhancing its GenAI-powered Video Call feature positions it for long-term growth.

MacDonald writes that he is prepared to endure short-term challenges for long-term gains and sees the initial revenue guidance as conservative, which provides room for the company to maintain its beat-and-raise momentum in FY25.

Price Action: DUOL shares are down 14.11% at $322.74 at the last check Friday.

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Latest Ratings for DUOL

Mar 2022

Evercore ISI Group

Maintains

Outperform

Mar 2022

Piper Sandler

Maintains

Overweight

Jan 2022

Piper Sandler

Maintains

Overweight

View More Analyst Ratings for DUOL

View the Latest Analyst Ratings

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