What Are The Drivers Of Sigma Designs Inc’s (SIGM) Risks?

For Sigma Designs Inc’s (NASDAQ:SIGM) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. Every stock in the market is exposed to market risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few. This is measured by its beta. Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk, and the broad market index represents a beta value of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

Check out our latest analysis for Sigma Designs

An interpretation of SIGM's beta

Sigma Designs’s five-year beta of 1.17 means that the company’s value will swing up by more than the market during prosperous times, but also drop down by more in times of downturns. This level of volatility indicates bigger risk for investors who passively invest in the stock market index. Based on this beta value, SIGM can help magnify your portfolio return, especially if it is predominantly made up of low-beta stocks. If the market is going up, a higher exposure to the upside from a high-beta stock can push up your portfolio return.

Could SIGM's size and industry cause it to be more volatile?

A market capitalisation of USD $238.80M puts SIGM in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. In addition to size, SIGM also operates in the semiconductors and semiconductor equipment industry, which has commonly demonstrated strong reactions to market-wide shocks. So, investors should expect a larger beta for smaller companies operating in a cyclical industry in contrast with lower beta for larger firms in a more defensive industry. This is consistent with SIGM’s individual beta value we discussed above. Fundamental factors can also drive the cyclicality of the stock, which we will take a look at next.

NasdaqGS:SIGM Income Statement Oct 1st 17
NasdaqGS:SIGM Income Statement Oct 1st 17

How SIGM's assets could affect its beta

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I test SIGM’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company's overall assets, SIGM seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. Thus, we can expect SIGM to be more stable in the face of market movements, relative to its peers of similar size but with a higher portion of fixed assets on their books. However, this is the opposite to what SIGM’s actual beta value suggests, which is higher stock volatility relative to the market.