Downturn Diligence: Increasing Your Business’s Recession Resilience

Economists worry about a recession in the next year. (E.g., per Fortune, NPR , CNBC, and MarketWatch.) Whenever the next downturn arrives, businesses should be prepared for increased litigation and regulatory action. Start now by updating contract terms to anticipate tighter budgets and by preparing your team for scrutiny from regulators, customers, and counterparties.

Downturns Yield Upticks



Increased litigation and regulatory activity typically accompanies recessions. Revenues slow, forcing businesses to reevaluate their contracts. Stock prices fall and disgruntled investors pursue shareholder and derivative claims, as well as actions against advisers and brokers. Political pressures prompt rigorous investigations by regulators and self-regulatory organizations. Budget reductions compel layoffs, and unhappy ex-employees level blame, and legal claims, at former employers. Bankruptcy filings trigger litigation over receivables, and disputes erupt over earn-out provisions in M&A agreements. Even businesses lucky enough to avoid direct investigation or litigation still receive third-party subpoenas for documents and testimony.

Five Proactive Steps



Before the next recession, businesses can take action to mitigate the impact of a potential downturn. Happily, this preemptive “downturn diligence” also makes sense in boomtimes.

First, reassess significant contracts. Proactively reassess existing significant contracts, and be mindful about new contracts over the coming months.

  • Performance and Termination—Scrutinize minimum-performance obligations that may be difficult to meet in a downturn. Ensure flexibility for termination or modification in the event of economic necessity. Consider whether there are benefits from post-termination rights to return unused goods and services.

  • Dispute Resolution—Avoid conferral and mediation requirements that delay dispute resolution and create costs. Consider swift arbitration schedules or litigation venues with accelerated procedures, like the Eastern District of Virginia.

  • M&A—Ensure performance and earn-out terms allow for flexibility in future budgeting and business needs during a downturn. Confirm valuations and projections reflect robust analysis for a changing and uncertain environment.



Second, prepare for regulatory actions. Take steps now to reduce costs and better position your defense for regulatory matters and attendant litigation.

  • Procedures/Training—Robust preventative policies and procedures, coupled with periodic training on sensitive matters, such as the FCPA, can help businesses demonstrate they are responsible “corporate citizens.”

  • Potential “Red Flags”—Regulators expect businesses to proactively address problems, particularly for hot-button issues. And multiple agencies offer lucrative whistleblower rewards for individuals who report misconduct. Businesses should quickly investigate potential concerns and implement appropriate remedial action.

  • Public Disclosures—Company statements are among the first things adversaries and regulators scrutinize. Ensure public statements—to consumers, lenders, insurers, and investors—are complete, accurate, and account for anticipated consequences of downward economic pressure.

  • Document Retention—Reduce significant document-review burdens and costs by identifying applicable retention obligations and considering protocols to clear unnecessary documents. Yet also ensure retained files contain important evidence, such as documents showing clients received risk disclosures, documenting the rationale for suitability / investment advice recommendations, and other extrinsic evidence.