Don't Race Out To Buy Smurfit Westrock Plc (NYSE:SW) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

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Smurfit Westrock Plc (NYSE:SW) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in four days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Smurfit Westrock's shares before the 14th of February in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 18th of March.

The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.4308 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed US$1.21 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Smurfit Westrock has a trailing yield of 2.2% on the current share price of US$54.00. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to investigate whether Smurfit Westrock can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

See our latest analysis for Smurfit Westrock

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. An unusually high payout ratio of 288% of its profit suggests something is happening other than the usual distribution of profits to shareholders. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Over the last year, it paid out dividends equivalent to 395% of what it generated in free cash flow, a disturbingly high percentage. It's pretty hard to pay out more than you earn, so we wonder how Smurfit Westrock intends to continue funding this dividend, or if it could be forced to cut the payment.

As Smurfit Westrock's dividend was not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned that this dividend could be at risk over the long term.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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NYSE:SW Historic Dividend February 9th 2025

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're encouraged by the steady growth at Smurfit Westrock, with earnings per share up 9.2% on average over the last five years. Earnings per share have been growing steadily, although a payout ratio this high suggests future growth is likely to slow, and the dividend may also be at risk of a cut if business enters a downturn.