Don't Buy Marlin Global Limited (NZSE:MLN) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

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It looks like Marlin Global Limited (NZSE:MLN) is about to go ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. This means that investors who purchase Marlin Global's shares on or after the 30th of November will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 15th of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be NZ$0.018 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed NZ$0.071 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Marlin Global has a trailing yield of 7.6% on the current stock price of NZ$0.93. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to investigate whether Marlin Global can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

See our latest analysis for Marlin Global

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Marlin Global paid out 61% of its earnings to investors last year, a normal payout level for most businesses.

Companies that pay out less in dividends than they earn in profits generally have more sustainable dividends. The lower the payout ratio, the more wiggle room the business has before it could be forced to cut the dividend.

Click here to see how much of its profit Marlin Global paid out over the last 12 months.

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NZSE:MLN Historic Dividend November 25th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Marlin Global's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 11% a year over the previous five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Marlin Global's dividend payments are broadly unchanged compared to where they were 10 years ago. When earnings are declining yet the dividends are flat, typically the company is either paying out a higher portion of its earnings, or paying out of cash or debt on the balance sheet, neither of which is ideal.