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NBT Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ:NBTB), operating in the financial services industry based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to $39.17 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $34.51. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether NBT Bancorp's current trading price of $36.55 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at NBT Bancorp’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for NBT Bancorp
Is NBT Bancorp still cheap?
According to my valuation model, NBT Bancorp seems to be fairly priced at around 16% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy NBT Bancorp today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $43.63, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. In addition to this, NBT Bancorp has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.
What does the future of NBT Bancorp look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 1.0% expected over the next year, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for NBT Bancorp, at least in the short term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in NBTB’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on NBTB, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.