Does Kuantum Papers Limited's (NSE:KUANTUM) P/E Ratio Signal A Buying Opportunity?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Kuantum Papers (NSE:KUANTUM) shares are down a considerable in the last month. Zooming out, the recent drop wiped out a year's worth of gains, with the share price now back where it was a year ago.

All else being equal, a sharp share price increase should make a stock less attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that deep value investors might steer clear when expectations of a company are too high. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for Kuantum Papers

Does Kuantum Papers Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Kuantum Papers's P/E of 4.93 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (9.3) for companies in the forestry industry is higher than Kuantum Papers's P/E.

NSEI:KUANTUM Price Estimation Relative to Market, October 25th 2019
NSEI:KUANTUM Price Estimation Relative to Market, October 25th 2019

Kuantum Papers's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with Kuantum Papers, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

Kuantum Papers's earnings per share grew by -4.8% in the last twelve months. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 20% per year over the last five years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Kuantum Papers's Balance Sheet

Kuantum Papers has net debt worth 89% of its market capitalization. This is a reasonably significant level of debt -- all else being equal you'd expect a much lower P/E than if it had net cash.

The Verdict On Kuantum Papers's P/E Ratio

Kuantum Papers trades on a P/E ratio of 4.9, which is below the IN market average of 13.0. It's good to see EPS growth in the last 12 months, but the debt on the balance sheet might be muting expectations. Given Kuantum Papers's P/E ratio has declined from 4.9 to 4.9 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is more worried about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for deep value investors this stock might justify some research.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. Although we don't have analyst forecasts shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

You might be able to find a better buy than Kuantum Papers. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

Advertisement