What Does K. Wah International Holdings Limited’s (HKG:173) Share Price Indicate?

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K. Wah International Holdings Limited (HKG:173), which is in the real estate business, and is based in Hong Kong, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the SEHK over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine K. Wah International Holdings’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for K. Wah International Holdings

Is K. Wah International Holdings still cheap?

According to my relative valuation model, the stock seems to be currently fairly priced. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 5.11x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 5.29x, which means if you buy K. Wah International Holdings today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe K. Wah International Holdings should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond where it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because K. Wah International Holdings’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from K. Wah International Holdings?

SEHK:173 Future Profit December 13th 18
SEHK:173 Future Profit December 13th 18

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. K. Wah International Holdings’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 84%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 173’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 173? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the true value?