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CTP N.V. (AMS:CTPNV), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the ENXTAM. The company is inching closer to its yearly highs following the recent share price climb. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on CTP’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for CTP
What's The Opportunity In CTP?
CTP appears to be overvalued by 30% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at €16.04 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of €12.30. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! In addition to this, it seems like CTP’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What does the future of CTP look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 17% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for CTP. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? CTPNV’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe CTPNV should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CTPNV for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CTPNV, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.