How Does China Kepei Education Group's (HKG:1890) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After Its Big Share Price Gain?

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Those holding China Kepei Education Group (HKG:1890) shares must be pleased that the share price has rebounded 35% in the last thirty days. But unfortunately, the stock is still down by 5.7% over a quarter. The full year gain of 22% is pretty reasonable, too.

All else being equal, a sharp share price increase should make a stock less attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that deep value investors might steer clear when expectations of a company are too high. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

View our latest analysis for China Kepei Education Group

How Does China Kepei Education Group's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 17.55 that there is some investor optimism about China Kepei Education Group. The image below shows that China Kepei Education Group has a higher P/E than the average (12.9) P/E for companies in the consumer services industry.

SEHK:1890 Price Estimation Relative to Market April 19th 2020
SEHK:1890 Price Estimation Relative to Market April 19th 2020

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that China Kepei Education Group shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

If earnings fall then in the future the 'E' will be lower. Therefore, even if you pay a low multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become higher in the future. Then, a higher P/E might scare off shareholders, pushing the share price down.

China Kepei Education Group's earnings per share were pretty steady over the last year. And over the longer term (5 years) earnings per share have decreased 32% annually. So it would be surprising to see a high P/E.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

So What Does China Kepei Education Group's Balance Sheet Tell Us?

China Kepei Education Group has net cash of CN¥1.3b. This is fairly high at 16% of its market capitalization. That might mean balance sheet strength is important to the business, but should also help push the P/E a bit higher than it would otherwise be.

The Bottom Line On China Kepei Education Group's P/E Ratio

China Kepei Education Group has a P/E of 17.6. That's higher than the average in its market, which is 9.6. Recent earnings growth wasn't bad. Also positive, the relatively strong balance sheet will allow for investment in growth -- and the P/E indicates shareholders that will happen! What we know for sure is that investors have become more excited about China Kepei Education Group recently, since they have pushed its P/E ratio from 13.0 to 17.6 over the last month. If you like to buy stocks that have recently impressed the market, then this one might be a candidate; but if you prefer to invest when there is 'blood in the streets', then you may feel the opportunity has passed.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. People often underestimate remarkable growth -- so investors can make money when fast growth is not fully appreciated. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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