What Does Atlas Copco AB's (STO:ATCO A) Share Price Indicate?

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Atlas Copco AB (STO:ATCO A) saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the OM. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Atlas Copco’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Atlas Copco

Is Atlas Copco still cheap?

According to my valuation model, Atlas Copco seems to be fairly priced at around 18.12% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Atlas Copco today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is SEK247.71, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Atlas Copco’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Atlas Copco generate?

OM:ATCO A Past and Future Earnings, June 27th 2019
OM:ATCO A Past and Future Earnings, June 27th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Atlas Copco’s earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ATCO A’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ATCO A, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.