Dive Deposits: UBS simply doesn’t want to be held back
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When I told my best friend I was getting married – and subsequently asked him to be my best man – his response was, “Of course. Who else were you going to ask? ____ _______?”

The first two words probably would have sufficed. Listen to the whole response, though, and it’s massive shade thrown on the presumed runner-up.

That’s the context through which one might choose to read a recent Bloomberg report that UBS is considering moving its headquarters out of its home country on the likelihood the Swiss bank could be forced to hold tens of billions of dollars more in capital. One long-running proposal, backed by UBS’s regulator, Finma, is thought to put the increase at $25 billion. A more recent one, from Switzerland’s minority Social Democratic Party, would put it around $40 billion.

UBS – especially after (being goaded into?) absorbing Credit Suisse in 2023 – is far and away Switzerland’s largest lender. So the rumor that UBS is thinking of pulling up its tent stakes could be read as: “Good luck with that. Who’s your big bank now? Julius Baer?”

Tension between the bank and the Swiss government over the prospect of increased capital requirements is not new. The Swiss government last April outlined 22 measures to strengthen regulation for banks deemed “too big to fail.” But UBS’s counter has been more forceful since it became clear that other countries – particularly the U.S. – would be slower to adopt the Basel endgame.

Switzerland implemented Basel III reforms in full in January, though Finma has indicated it would be willing to stagger UBS’s increased capital requirements over a number of years.

But UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti, at a conference last week, said “a longer transition period doesn’t change the substance” of Finma’s demands, adding that shareholders and clients often account for the full brunt of a course of action – no matter the timeline – at the start.

“Excessive capital requirements or other undue limitations on our international business would penalize our diversified global presence … and damage the competitiveness of Switzerland’s economy,” Ermotti and UBS’s chair, Colm Kelleher, wrote last week in a letter to shareholders. “Any such requirements would also be out of step with the many measures to strengthen the competitive environment adopted by other leading financial centers.”