DistributionNOW’s (NYSE:DNOW) Q1: Beats On Revenue

DNOW Cover Image — DistributionNOW’s (NYSE:DNOW) Q1: Beats On Revenue

Adam Hejl

Wed, May 7, 2025, 5:13 AM 5 min read

Revenue: $599 million vs analyst estimates of $587.8 million (6.4% year-on-year growth, 1.9% beat)
Adjusted EPS: $0.22 vs analyst estimates of $0.17 (26.9% beat)
Adjusted EBITDA: $46 million vs analyst estimates of $40.4 million (7.7% margin, 13.9% beat)
Operating Margin: 5%, in line with the same quarter last year
Free Cash Flow was -$22 million, down from $80 million in the same quarter last year
Market Capitalization: $1.74 billion

Company Overview

Spun off from National Oilwell Varco, DistributionNOW (NYSE:DNOW) provides distribution and supply chain solutions for the energy and industrial end markets.

Sales Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Over the last five years, DistributionNOW’s demand was weak and its revenue declined by 2.8% per year. This was below our standards and is a sign of poor business quality.

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. DistributionNOW’s annualized revenue growth of 3.5% over the last two years is above its five-year trend, but we were still disappointed by the results.

DistributionNOW Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, DistributionNOW reported year-on-year revenue growth of 6.4%, and its $599 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 1.9%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 4.2% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection doesn't excite us and indicates its newer products and services will not catalyze better top-line performance yet.

Software is eating the world and there is virtually no industry left that has been untouched by it. That drives increasing demand for tools helping software developers do their jobs, whether it be monitoring critical cloud infrastructure, integrating audio and video functionality, or ensuring smooth content streaming. Click here to access a free report on our 3 favorite stocks to play this generational megatrend.

Operating Margin

DistributionNOW was profitable over the last five years but held back by its large cost base. Its average operating margin of 3.3% was weak for an industrials business. This result isn’t too surprising given its low gross margin as a starting point.

On the plus side, DistributionNOW’s operating margin rose by 11.7 percentage points over the last five years.

DistributionNOW Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, DistributionNOW generated an operating profit margin of 5%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s cost structure has recently been stable.

Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

DistributionNOW’s EPS grew at an astounding 82.8% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 2.8% annualized revenue declines. This tells us management adapted its cost structure in response to a challenging demand environment.

DistributionNOW Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Diving into the nuances of DistributionNOW’s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, DistributionNOW’s operating margin was flat this quarter but expanded by 11.7 percentage points over the last five years. On top of that, its share count shrank by 2.1%. These are positive signs for shareholders because improving profitability and share buybacks turbocharge EPS growth relative to revenue growth.

DistributionNOW Diluted Shares Outstanding

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

For DistributionNOW, its two-year annual EPS declines of 6.9% mark a reversal from its (seemingly) healthy five-year trend. We hope DistributionNOW can return to earnings growth in the future.

In Q1, DistributionNOW reported EPS at $0.22, in line with the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. We also like to analyze expected EPS growth based on Wall Street analysts’ consensus projections, but there is insufficient data.

Key Takeaways from DistributionNOW’s Q1 Results

We were impressed by how significantly DistributionNOW blew past analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also excited its EBITDA outperformed Wall Street’s estimates by a wide margin. Zooming out, we think this quarter featured some important positives, but shares traded down 5% to $15.21 immediately after reporting.

Is DistributionNOW an attractive investment opportunity right now? We think that the latest quarter is just one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

Terms and Privacy Policy

Your Privacy Choices

Utah Privacy Notice

More Info