Did The Underlying Business Drive Profile Systems & Software A.E's (ATH:PROF) Lovely 658% Share Price Gain?

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We think that it's fair to say that the possibility of finding fantastic multi-year winners is what motivates many investors. Not every pick can be a winner, but when you pick the right stock, you can win big. One such superstar is Profile Systems & Software A.E. (ATH:PROF), which saw its share price soar 658% in three years. On top of that, the share price is up 84% in about a quarter.

It really delights us to see such great share price performance for investors.

View our latest analysis for Profile Systems & Software A.E

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During three years of share price growth, Profile Systems & Software A.E achieved compound earnings per share growth of 12% per year. In comparison, the 96% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

ATSE:PROF Past and Future Earnings, June 7th 2019
ATSE:PROF Past and Future Earnings, June 7th 2019

We know that Profile Systems & Software A.E has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Profile Systems & Software A.E's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. We note that Profile Systems & Software A.E's TSR, at 680% is higher than its share price return of 658%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Profile Systems & Software A.E has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 157% in the last twelve months. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 33% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Before forming an opinion on Profile Systems & Software A.E you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.