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For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. We regret to report that long term Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited (HKG:551) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 27% in three years, versus a market return of about 16%.
View our latest analysis for Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings)
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 8.5% per year, over the last three years. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 9.9% average annual decrease in the share price. So it seems like sentiment towards the stock hasn't changed all that much over time. In this case, it seems that the EPS is guiding the share price.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) the TSR over the last 3 years was -2.6%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 9.6% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 4.5% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. Importantly, we haven't analysed Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings)'s dividend history. This free visual report on its dividends is a must-read if you're thinking of buying.