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It is hard to get excited after looking at Deutsche Post's (ETR:DHL) recent performance, when its stock has declined 14% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Deutsche Post's ROE today.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
View our latest analysis for Deutsche Post
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Deutsche Post is:
17% = €3.9b ÷ €23b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every €1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated €0.17 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Deutsche Post's Earnings Growth And 17% ROE
To start with, Deutsche Post's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 18%. This probably goes some way in explaining Deutsche Post's moderate 17% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.
As a next step, we compared Deutsche Post's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 18% in the same period.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Deutsche Post is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.