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Designers, Showrooms in Shanghai Rethink Strategy Amid China’s Structural Slowdown

SHANGHAI — A cloud of uncertainty hangs over Shanghai Fashion Week, as it reckons with one of its most challenging retail environments in the past 10 years.

However, the consensus among designers and showrooms remains cautiously optimistic, as they push ahead and perhaps even thrive — if market consolidation plays in their favor.

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On the macro level, a recent market stimulus package from the Chinese government provided a much-needed boost to consumer confidence in the short run, but more is needed to save the fashion and luxury sector.

As Barclays’ luxury analyst Carole Madjo remarked in a recent China Feedback Call, “It remains to be seen if China’s weakness is structural or cyclical, but based on what we heard on the ground, it is perhaps structural.

“Wealth creation is changing as the private sector goes under pressure. It’s not coming from the property market or stock market, but AI, green energy and technology sectors. The current view is that these new growth drivers might drive less and at a slower pace,” Madjo added.

For Lv Xiaolei, Shanghai Fashion Week’s doyenne and executive vice chairman of the Shanghai Fashion Designer Association, the industry must “prudently think of next steps.” “We [the SFDA] will continue to be the glue that connects all facets of the industry and open up more resources inside and outside the industry for designers,” said Lv.

Lv also said that SFDA will help designers strike commercial deals, as well as work with its strategic partners to promote local designers on the global stage.

“The unfavorable environment could mean inertia and limit designers’ creative output, but I still look forward to those that have the urge to think outside the box and be truly creative — it’s the most important thing they can do to protect brand value,” said Tasha Liu, founder of Labelhood, who mentioned Joyce Bao, Raydots, Kinyan Lam, and Re Shui as “brave new brands” that can jolt the industry into action.

Roger Miao, managing director of the trade show Ontimeshow, remains adamant that the market will gravitate toward “commercially savvy and aesthetically independent” brands. “The market is going through a period of consolidation, but when overall volume shrinks, the ones that survive will manage to get a larger piece of the pie.”

Apart from its expansive 269,000-square-foot main trade show space, Ontimeshow is launching a new vertical spotlighting accessory brands. “We are the scaffolding for the industry, we have to do what it takes to prop up market confidence,” added Miao.