Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX)?

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With its stock down 17% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Freeport-McMoRan's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Freeport-McMoRan

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Freeport-McMoRan is:

16% = US$4.7b ÷ US$29b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.16 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Freeport-McMoRan's Earnings Growth And 16% ROE

To start with, Freeport-McMoRan's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 12% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for Freeport-McMoRan's significant 23% net income growth seen over the past five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

We then performed a comparison between Freeport-McMoRan's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 22% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:FCX Past Earnings Growth January 20th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Freeport-McMoRan fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.