Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ)?

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It is hard to get excited after looking at Mondelez International's (NASDAQ:MDLZ) recent performance, when its stock has declined 18% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Mondelez International's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Mondelez International

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Mondelez International is:

14% = US$3.8b ÷ US$28b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.14 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Mondelez International's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

To start with, Mondelez International's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 11%. Despite this, Mondelez International's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 2.4%. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

We then compared Mondelez International's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 9.5% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.