By Hari Kishan

BENGALURU (Reuters) - A runaway surge in global house prices is drawing to a close as interest rates rise along with the cost of living, according to Reuters polls of housing analysts, who said prices needed to fall in double digits in several key markets to turn affordable.

Ultra-low interest rates and strong demand from remote workers which helped house prices in most major economies to outpace not only real wages but also returns on their respective stock markets was now coming to an end.

What was not ending yet was the rise in consumer inflation, which is above most central banks' targeted ranges and in several cases at multi-decade highs, setting the stage for more rate hikes to come over the coming months.

That doesn't bode well for a sector which is sensitive to higher interest rates at a time when hordes of new home owners have bought homes at the peak of a multi-year boom in housing.

"We've seen material changes of course already in mortgage rates ticking up from the record low rates of a year or so ago...(which) will begin to bite households," said Adam Challis, executive director of research and strategy for EMEA at JLL.

Reuters polls of over 100 housing strategists taken Aug. 12- Sept. 2 showed house prices in nearly all the nine major housing markets to slow over the next two years by more than was predicted three months ago.

While only India and Dubai were forecast to post some marginal gains, those median estimates were nearly identical to the May poll.

Despite that tempered outlook, a crash in house prices was not a view shared by most analysts as strong labour markets across the developed world were expected to keep delinquency rates from rising.

But most analysts said prices were already so high that even the low single-digit rises predicted from here, or in some cases outright falls, weren't enough to make them affordable.

Supply isn't improving either as house building is not expected to keep with demand.

"Affordability has worsened and it would take quite a large price adjustment on the way down to actually kind of get back to the affordability metrics we were at six months ago," said Liam Bailey, global head of research at Knight Frank.

Bailey said the most likely near-term outlook for property markets is that turnover slows to a trickle as sellers are reluctant to admit the market is falling and they need to cut their asking prices.

GRAPHIC: Reuters Poll - Global housing markets (https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/polling/gdpzyxwwdvw/Reuters%20Poll%20-%20Global%20housing%20markets.PNG)