Is Cummins Inc.'s (NYSE:CMI) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

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Cummins' (NYSE:CMI) stock is up by a considerable 12% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Cummins' ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Cummins

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cummins is:

20% = US$2.2b ÷ US$11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.20 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Cummins' Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

To start with, Cummins' ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 15% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Given the circumstances, we can't help but wonder why Cummins saw little to no growth in the past five years. Therefore, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

We then compared Cummins' net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 16% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:CMI Past Earnings Growth December 22nd 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Cummins''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.