Credicorp Ltd (BAP) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
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Credicorp Ltd (NYSE: BAP)
Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call
Feb. 07, 2019, 9:30 a.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks

  • Questions and Answers

  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good morning, everyone. I would like to welcome all of you to Credicorp Ltd Fourth Quarter 2018 Conference Call. We now have our speakers in conference. Please be aware each of your lines is in a listen-only mode. At the conclusion of today's presentation, we will open the floor for questions. At that time. Instructions will be given to the procedure to follow, if you'd like to ask a question.

With us today is Mr. Walter Bayly, Chief Executive Officer; Mr. Alvaro Correa, Deputy Chief Executive Officer; Mr. Gianfranco Ferrari, Deputy Chief Executive Officer; Mr. Cesar Rios, Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Reynaldo Llosa, Chief Risk Officer; Ms. Francesca Raffo, Head of Transformation at BCP.

Now it is my pleasure to turn the conference over to Credicorps' Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Cesar Rios. Mr. Rios, you may begin.

Cesar Rios -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you. Good morning and welcome to Credicorp's Conference Call on our earning results for the fourth quarter of 2018. Before we review Credicorp's performance in the fourth quarter of 2018, I would like to highlight some important matters that characterize this scenario in which we have operated in the last few months. Tailwinds for our businesses, first, we expected real GDP growth in the last quarter of 2018 to stand close to 5% year-over-year.

With this result, the economy will have grown around 4% in 2018, one of the best results in the region, an efficient sector, public investment and private mining investment were the main drivers of growth in 2018.

Second, there were important investment announcements in 2018. One of the most notable was the Qullaveco mining project in Moquegua for $5 billion.

Third, the average price of copper is up $2.96 per pound in 2018, which represented a four-year peak. The price ended at $2.7 per pound.

Headwind for our businesses. First, global economic activity decelerated in the last quarter of 2018. Second, through 2018, we observed an escalation of trade tensions between the US and China. This has implied risk for global economic growth. Third, in 2018 we observed several episodes of financial volatility that impacted our trading-related activities. On the local front, Peru registered a slight decrease in corporate output during the second half of 2018.

Lastly, the Lava Jato scandal has had negative effect on economic activity through a paralysis of certain investment projects and political uncertainty. With regard to the political environment, the referendum held on December 9th had no material impact on the business environment. Finally, the most important political event in 2018 was in March 2018 when President Vizcarra took office.