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Corporate Travel Management Limited's (ASX:CTD) dividend is being reduced by 41% to A$0.10 per share on 4th of April, in comparison to last year's comparable payment of A$0.17. However, the dividend yield of 1.6% still remains in a typical range for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Corporate Travel Management
Corporate Travel Management's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. The last dividend was quite comfortably covered by Corporate Travel Management's earnings, but it was a bit tighter on the cash flow front. By paying out so much of its cash flows, this could indicate that the company has limited opportunities for investment and growth.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 128.5%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 22%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of A$0.12 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of A$0.29. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 9.2% per annum over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. In the last five years, Corporate Travel Management's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 9.6% per annum. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.
In Summary
Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. While Corporate Travel Management is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Corporate Travel Management that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Corporate Travel Management not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.