The Connect Group (EBR:CONN) Share Price Is Up 100% And Shareholders Are Holding On

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the Connect Group NV (EBR:CONN) share price is up 100% in the last three years, clearly besting than the market return of around -8.8% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 42%.

View our latest analysis for Connect Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Connect Group was able to grow its EPS at 125% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 26% is actually lower than the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 9.70 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

ENXTBR:CONN Past and Future Earnings, September 13th 2019
ENXTBR:CONN Past and Future Earnings, September 13th 2019

Dive deeper into Connect Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Connect Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Connect Group's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. We note that Connect Group's TSR, at 100% is higher than its share price return of 100%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Connect Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 42% over the last year. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 6.6%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how Connect Group scores on these 3 valuation metrics.