Should You Be Concerned About Huisheng International Holdings Limited's (HKG:1340) Historical Volatility?

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If you're interested in Huisheng International Holdings Limited (HKG:1340), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

Check out our latest analysis for Huisheng International Holdings

What does 1340's beta value mean to investors?

Given that it has a beta of 1.29, we can surmise that the Huisheng International Holdings share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, Huisheng International Holdings shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Share price volatility is well worth considering, but most long term investors consider the history of revenue and earnings growth to be more important. Take a look at how Huisheng International Holdings fares in that regard, below.

SEHK:1340 Income Statement, September 13th 2019
SEHK:1340 Income Statement, September 13th 2019

Does 1340's size influence the expected beta?

Huisheng International Holdings is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of HK$110m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.