Even after a Social Security COLA boost in 2024, seniors will fall short. Here's why.

Social Security checks will increase next year, but for retired staffing company executive Lou Scrivani, 76, the bump won't even be enough to cover increases in his health care costs, much less the inflated prices of everything else over the past year.

Starting in January, more than 66 million beneficiaries of the program will receive a cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, of 3.2%, averaging out to more than $50 extra each month.

COLA is meant to help Americans keep up with inflation so they can maintain their standard of living year to year. But the hikes are falling short, many seniors say. The cost of items older adults spend most of their money on consistently outpaces COLA, according to The Senior Citizens League, a nonprofit advocate for older adults. The biggest expense is health care.

Even with COLA “we will not net enough to keep up with current inflation,” said Scrivani, who lives in Delaware.

Show me the math

This is how Scrivani does the math for himself and his wife:

Total monthly COLA increase for both: about $135.

LESS:

◾ Medicare Part B monthly increase: about $10 x 2 = $20

◾ Drug plan increase: $25.70 x 2 = $51.40

◾ Medicare supplement increase: $10 total

That means from the $135 monthly COLA increase, the Scrivanis keep about $53.60. The deductible on their drug plan rose $60, however.

“So goodbye $53 increase,” Scrivani said. “With current inflation rates, that puts us in negative territory overall.”

And that example only accounts for higher health care costs. When you factor in pricier housing, food, gas, and utilities, the bleeding gets worse, and older adults have to hope their savings can cover the differences, experts and seniors say.

But that doesn't always happen.

Poverty has increased among Americans age 65 and older for three years in a row to 14.1% in 2022 from 10.7% in 2021, according to the latest Census Bureau data.

"We have a problem, a lot of people are feeling it," said Kris Whipple, partner and financial adviser at Kristopher Curtis Financial in Nashville, Tennessee. "So I jump to what can be done? What can I do? Plan accordingly."

Do Americans have enough savings to cover extra costs every year?

Unlikely.

The Senior Citizens League said more than one-quarter of the 1,055 adults it surveyed in the first three months of the year said they had depleted a retirement account over the past 12 months. That was up from 20% in the second half of last year.

And a record 45% said they carried credit card debt for more than 90 days even as interest rates soared, the League said.