Clemson University, SC -- Moody's affirms Clemson University's (SC) Aa2 and Aa3 ratings; outlook stable

Rating Action: Moody's affirms Clemson University's (SC) Aa2 and Aa3 ratings; outlook stable

Global Credit Research - 21 Jan 2021

New York, January 21, 2021 -- Moody's Investors Service has affirmed the Aa2 ratings on Clemson University's (SC) Higher Education Revenue Bonds and Aa3 ratings on its Athletic Facilities Revenue Bonds. The affirmations impact around $397 million of rated debt. The outlook is stable.

RATINGS RATIONALE

The affirmation of the seniormost Aa2 rating reflects Clemson's broad revenue pledge and student market momentum with operating revenue reaching $1.2 billion for the land grant university in fiscal 2020. Ongoing donor support continues to foster total cash and investment growth, which ended fiscal 2020 at $1.3 billion. The university also benefits from a growing sponsored research enterprise and close alignment with the state's economic development goals. These strengths are offset by limited state support, stiff competition for students, and sizeable pension obligations. The university faces considerable business disruption caused by the coronavirus pandemic, which is a social risk under Moody's ESG framework due to implications for public health and safety. With material support in the form of federal relief, a prudent public health response and close management of expenses, the credit impact of the pandemic should remain manageable.

The Aa3 on the athletic facilities revenue bonds incorporates the fundamental credit strength of the university, the strategic role of intercollegiate athletics as well as expectations of active management and continued adequate coverage from the limited auxiliary pledge.

RATING OUTLOOK

The stable outlook reflects our expectations that Clemson University will continue to benefit from healthy student demand and that operating cash flow margins will remain above 12% in support of debt service commitments. The stable outlook is also predicated on expectations of manageable future borrowing and maintenance of flexible reserves.

FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OF THE RATINGS

- Material growth in total cash and investments

- Ongoing gains in the university's market position and revenue diversity

FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO A DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS

- Deterioration of operating performance or unrestricted liquidity

- Material increase in financial leverage

LEGAL SECURITY

The university's Aa2-rated broad pledge Revenue Bonds are secured by and payable from the net operating revenue of the auxiliary system, excluding athletics, plus Additional Funds designated as the gross receipts from the University Fee (total academic fee applied to all students, but not including special student fees, tuition or matriculation fees). Total net revenue without the additional funds pledged to the bonds was $32 million in fiscal 2020, providing 1.83x coverage of annual debt service. With Additional Funds of $412 million in fiscal 2020, combined coverage was 25.62x.