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Cincinnati Financial (CINF) reported $2.65 billion in revenue for the quarter ended December 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.7%. EPS of $3.14 for the same period compares to $2.28 a year ago.
The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.09% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.63 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.90, the EPS surprise was +65.26%.
While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.
Here is how Cincinnati Financial performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
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Property Casualty Insurance Segment - Expense Ratio: 29.7% versus the six-analyst average estimate of 30.1%.
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Property Casualty Insurance Segment - Loss and loss expenses: 55% compared to the 63.2% average estimate based on six analysts.
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Property Casualty Insurance Segment - Combined Ratio: 84.7% compared to the 93.2% average estimate based on six analysts.
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Commercial Lines Insurance - Loss and loss expenses: 53.8% versus the five-analyst average estimate of 61.3%.
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Revenues- Earned premiums- Total: $2.37 billion versus the six-analyst average estimate of $2.34 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +14.6%.
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Investment income, net of expenses- Total: $280 million compared to the $265.55 million average estimate based on six analysts. The reported number represents a change of +17.2% year over year.
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Revenues- Personal Lines Insurance- Earned premiums: $726 million compared to the $711.68 million average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of +29.6% year over year.
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Revenues- Life Insurance Subsidiary- Earned premiums: $81 million compared to the $79.35 million average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of +1.3% year over year.
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Revenues- Commercial Lines Insurance- Earned premiums: $1.16 billion versus $1.17 billion estimated by five analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +7.4% change.
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Revenues- Property Casualty Insurance- Fee revenues: $3 million versus the five-analyst average estimate of $2.60 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of 0%.
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Total revenues- Excess and surplus lines insurance: $169 million versus the five-analyst average estimate of $166.06 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +13.4%.
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Revenues- Property Casualty Insurance- Earned premiums: $2.28 billion versus $2.26 billion estimated by five analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +15.1% change.