China's 'erotic clothing' capital braces for Trump and e-commerce crackdown

By Casey Hall, Florence Lo and Xihao Jiang

GUANYUN, China (Reuters) - In an industrial park being built with Chinese state support in the middle of a sprawling farming community, factory boss Lei Congrui straightens a tiny golden bell hanging off a choker on a mannequin wearing white-and-pink lingerie.

What Lei calls his "erotic clothing" showroom is one of the few already open in WeMet Industrial Park, whose Chinese name translates as "Victoria's Secret Town" - though it has no official affiliation to the U.S. brand.

The development of the lingerie industry in eastern Guanyun county, 180 miles (290 km) from the metropolis of Nanjing, has exploded partly due to a U.S. tariff exemption likely to soon be curtailed or scrapped.

Under the "de minimis" rule, which seeks to reduce customs paperwork, the United States exempts foreign packages valued at $800 or under from tariffs as long as they're shipped to individuals.

It has fuelled the meteoric rise of Chinese e-commerce firms such as Shein and PDD Holdings' Temu, as well as producers like Lei selling through those platforms, while also being exploited for criminal ends, such as fentanyl trafficking.

Efforts by U.S. President Joe Biden to "plug the loophole" in his final days in office, and incoming President Donald Trump's campaign pledge to raise tariffs on China, are threatening investment returns and livelihoods in largely agrarian Guanyun, home to about 1 million.

The European Union and other countries are considering similar restrictions.

De minimis curbs and higher tariffs "will have a relatively large impact on us," said the pony-tailed and bespectacled Lei, whose Midnight Charm Garment Co. serves clients like Shein and relies on the U.S. for 70% of revenues.

Nomura estimates China will export $240 billion in goods benefiting from this exemption this year, accounting for 7% of its overseas sales and contributing 1.3% of gross domestic product.

It forecasts that the U.S. eliminating the rule would reduce export growth by 1.3 percentage points and GDP growth by 0.2 points; the figures worsen significantly if Europe and Southeast Asia also remove the dispensation.

"We expect blue-collar workers from those small factories of unbranded, low value-added and labour-intensive products, to be most affected," says Nomura chief China economist Ting Lu, adding that the apparel sector was among those.

The Guanyun local government and China's commerce ministry, as well as Shein and PDD, did not reply to requests for comment. The ministry said last month "arbitrary" tariffs "won't solve America's own problems" with drugs and the economy.